FIGHTTRUTH●
⌕
BETA · v1.0
UFC 329STEVESON-2400-37.3%
UFC 329ELLISON+1200+33.6%
UFC FNDING-132-31.7%
UFC FNHENRIQUE+113+27.9%
PROFESSIGHANEM+130-27.1%
UFC 329SANDHAGEN-148-25.5%
UFC FNAMORIM-112-23.7%
PROFESSIFAHMI-154+23.0%
UFC 329BAUTISTA+124+21.2%
UFC 250LEWIS+281-20.5%
UFC FNLOOKBOONMEE-105+19.7%
UFC FNHILL+187-19.1%
UFC 329ROYVAL+142-18.7%
UFC FNAORIQILENG+284-17.3%
UFC 329STEVESON-2400-37.3%
UFC 329ELLISON+1200+33.6%
UFC FNDING-132-31.7%
UFC FNHENRIQUE+113+27.9%
PROFESSIGHANEM+130-27.1%
UFC 329SANDHAGEN-148-25.5%
UFC FNAMORIM-112-23.7%
PROFESSIFAHMI-154+23.0%
UFC 329BAUTISTA+124+21.2%
UFC 250LEWIS+281-20.5%
UFC FNLOOKBOONMEE-105+19.7%
UFC FNHILL+187-19.1%
UFC 329ROYVAL+142-18.7%
UFC FNAORIQILENG+284-17.3%
TERMINAL · v1.0.4
›FT/PICKS
COMPARE ALL ODDS →
22 UPCOMING FIGHTS ANALYSED
DATA-DRIVEN
PICKS

Every pick is generated by our Bradley-Terry model — trained on 50,000+ professional fights and calibrated against 10,000 simulations per matchup. Where the model finds an edge against the market, we size it with Kelly Criterion for mathematically optimal unit allocation. No gut feel. No narrative. Pure signal.

■ FAVORITE■ UNDERDOG■ VALUE (≥5% EDGE)
Professional Fighters League - PFL MENA 9: Pride of ArabiaSun, May 24, 2026Coca-Cola Arena, Dubai, United Arab Emirates1 FIGHT WITH ODDS
FIGHTER A · BEST ODDS
CLASS
BEST ODDS · FIGHTER B
MODEL PREDICTION
6W 1L · FT 3.160% implied
LIGHTWEIGHT
43% implied7W 0L · FT 2.9
83.6%MEDIUM16.4%
● BETTING CARD1 PICK · HALF-KELLY · 100u BANKROLL
3.0u TOTAL
PICK
ODDS
MKT
MODEL
IMPLIED
EDGE
UNITS (½ KELLY)
Mohammad Fahmi
-150BetOnline
83.6%
60.0%
+23.6%
3.0u
FULL KELLY = 2× SHOWNMIN EDGE: 5%MAX BET: 10u
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. FigueiredoSat, May 30, 2026Macau, China10 FIGHTS WITH ODDS
FIGHTER A · BEST ODDS
CLASS
BEST ODDS · FIGHTER B
MODEL PREDICTION
20W 6L · FT 3.272% implied
BANTAMWEIGHT
28% implied12W 6L · FT 1.8
64.5%MEDIUM35.4%
● BETTING CARD1 PICK · HALF-KELLY · 100u BANKROLL
5.1u TOTAL
PICK
ODDS
MKT
MODEL
IMPLIED
EDGE
UNITS (½ KELLY)
Cameron Smotherman
+257Polymarket
35.4%
28.0%
+7.4%
5.1u
FULL KELLY = 2× SHOWNMIN EDGE: 5%MAX BET: 10u
23W 8L · FT 3.075% implied
WELTERWEIGHT
27% implied18W 7L · FT 2.8
75.8%HIGH24.2%
26W 10L · FT 2.854% implied
FLYWEIGHT
45% implied19W 7L · FT 2.3
52.9%LOW47.1%
15W 5L · FT 1.961% implied
MIDDLEWEIGHT
41% implied8W 1L · FT 1.9
54.2%LOW45.8%
35W 9L · FT 2.656% implied
WELTERWEIGHT
47% implied8W 1L · FT 2.9
25.2%HIGH74.8%
26W 12L · FT 2.025% implied
BANTAMWEIGHT
VALUE-345Cody Haddon
78% implied8W 1L · FT 3.4
8.7%HIGH91.3%
Rei Tsuruya-215VALUE
10W 1L · FT 3.868% implied
BANTAMWEIGHT
35% implied11W 3L · FT 2.3
80.8%HIGH19.2%
18W 16L · FT 2.333% implied
STRAWWEIGHT
VALUE-213Jingnan Xiong
68% implied17W 2L · FT 3.3
15.7%HIGH84.3%
21W 4L · FT 2.845% implied
FEATHERWEIGHT
56% implied21W 1L · FT 3.8
37.6%MEDIUM62.4%
10W 4L · FT 2.850% implied
STRAWWEIGHT
53% implied10W 3L · FT 2.7
70.9%HIGH29.1%
● BETTING CARD7 PICKS · HALF-KELLY · 100u BANKROLL
37.8u TOTAL
PICK
ODDS
MKT
MODEL
IMPLIED
EDGE
UNITS (½ KELLY)
José Henrique
+113Pinnacle
74.8%
46.9%
+27.9%
3.0u
Loma Lookboonmee
+102Bovada
70.9%
49.5%
+21.4%
6.0u
Jingnan Xiong
-213Betfair EU
84.3%
68.1%
+16.2%
8.0u
Cody Haddon
-345Betfair SB
91.3%
77.5%
+13.8%
4.0u
Rei Tsuruya
-215BetOnline
80.8%
68.3%
+12.5%
4.0u
Cameron Smotherman
+257Polymarket
35.4%
28.0%
+7.4%
5.1u
Rodrigo Vera
-125BetOnline
62.4%
55.6%
+6.8%
7.7u
FULL KELLY = 2× SHOWNMIN EDGE: 5%MAX BET: 10u
FREE ACCOUNT REQUIRED
UFC Freedom Fights 250: Topuria vs. GaethjeSun, Jun 14, 2026Washington, D.C.6 FIGHTS WITH ODDS
FIGHTER A · BEST ODDS
CLASS
BEST ODDS · FIGHTER B
MODEL PREDICTION
Ilia Topuria-588VALUE
17W 0L · FT 6.385% implied
LIGHTWEIGHT
15% implied26W 5L · FT 4.1
96.2%HIGH3.8%
● BETTING CARD1 PICK · HALF-KELLY · 100u BANKROLL
8.0u TOTAL
PICK
ODDS
MKT
MODEL
IMPLIED
EDGE
UNITS (½ KELLY)
Ilia Topuria
-588Betfair EU
96.2%
85.5%
+10.7%
8.0u
FULL KELLY = 2× SHOWNMIN EDGE: 5%MAX BET: 10u
13W 3L · FT 5.150% implied
HEAVYWEIGHT
50% implied13W 2L · FT 4.6
47.1%LOW52.8%
20W 3L · FT 4.379% implied
BANTAMWEIGHT
23% implied14W 2L · FT 4.1
78.8%HIGH21.2%
29W 13L · FT 3.226% implied
HEAVYWEIGHT
VALUE-315Josh Hokit
76% implied9W 0L · FT 4.8
5.7%HIGH94.3%
13W 2L · FT 4.183% implied
LIGHTWEIGHT
18% implied23W 10L · FT 3.1
91.7%HIGH8.3%
8W 1L · FT 3.975% implied
MIDDLEWEIGHT
26% implied17W 4L · FT 3.4
73.2%HIGH26.8%
● BETTING CARD3 PICKS · HALF-KELLY · 100u BANKROLL
18.0u TOTAL
PICK
ODDS
MKT
MODEL
IMPLIED
EDGE
UNITS (½ KELLY)
Josh Hokit
-315BetAnySports
94.3%
75.9%
+18.4%
4.0u
Ilia Topuria
-588Betfair EU
96.2%
85.5%
+10.7%
8.0u
Mauricio Ruffy
-500Winamax
91.7%
83.3%
+8.4%
6.0u
FULL KELLY = 2× SHOWNMIN EDGE: 5%MAX BET: 10u
FREE ACCOUNT REQUIRED
UFC 329Sat, Jul 11, 2026Las Vegas, Nevada, USA5 FIGHTS WITH ODDS
FIGHTER A · BEST ODDS
CLASS
BEST ODDS · FIGHTER B
MODEL PREDICTION
22W 6L · FT 3.323% implied
WELTERWEIGHT
70% implied26W 8L · FT 4.3
18.9%HIGH81.2%
● BETTING CARD1 PICK · HALF-KELLY · 100u BANKROLL
10.0u TOTAL
PICK
ODDS
MKT
MODEL
IMPLIED
EDGE
UNITS (½ KELLY)
Max Holloway
-233Polymarket
81.2%
70.0%
+11.2%
10.0u
FULL KELLY = 2× SHOWNMIN EDGE: 5%MAX BET: 10u
17W 3L · FT 4.264% implied
LIGHTWEIGHT
40% implied23W 4L · FT 3.8
63.6%MEDIUM36.4%
18W 6L · FT 4.060% implied
BANTAMWEIGHT
43% implied17W 3L · FT 4.3
34.2%MEDIUM65.8%
3W 0L · FT 2.095% implied
HEAVYWEIGHT
VALUE+1250Elisha Ellison
7% implied5W 2L · FT 1.4
58.7%MEDIUM41.3%
17W 9L · FT 3.241% implied
FLYWEIGHT
63% implied10W 1L · FT 3.6
22.6%HIGH77.4%
● BETTING CARD4 PICKS · HALF-KELLY · 100u BANKROLL
23.0u TOTAL
PICK
ODDS
MKT
MODEL
IMPLIED
EDGE
UNITS (½ KELLY)
Elisha Ellison
+1250BetOnline
41.3%
7.4%
+33.9%
1.0u
Mario Bautista
+130BetOnline
65.8%
43.5%
+22.3%
8.0u
Lone'er Kavanagh
-170BetOnline
77.4%
63.0%
+14.4%
4.0u
Max Holloway
-233Polymarket
81.2%
70.0%
+11.2%
10.0u
FULL KELLY = 2× SHOWNMIN EDGE: 5%MAX BET: 10u
FREE ACCOUNT REQUIRED
Best odds sourced from 34 books including Pinnacle, DraftKings, FanDuel, BetOnline, Ladbrokes and more·Compare all markets →